Are Trump’s Tariffs part of a strategy to restructure the US Debt, Dollar, Trade & Global Financial System? 🇺🇸🏛️🤑
FedOne-OffÉconomieTrade PolicyUS PoliticsGéopolitiqueChinaInflation2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 68.1%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
MĂ©thodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis Ă jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète4 avr. 25, 23:47 UTC30 nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the global financial/economic system experience a shock like 2008 in the next 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a massive global financial crisis, larger than any before seen in human history, before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's tariffs using Section 338 hold
Manifold MarketsWill the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?
KalshiAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?
PolymarketUS to impose tariffs on Denmark's imports before the 2028 elections?
FutuurRègles
Specifically the strategy outlined in Stephen Miran's paper A User Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System
- https://www.hudsonbaycapital.com/documents/FG/hudsonbay/research/638199_A_Users_Guide_to_Restructuring_the_Global_Trading_System.pdf
- Stephen is chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers under the Trump admin
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stephen_Miran
- GPT Summary of Miran's paper:
- The core argument is that the dollar’s persistent overvaluation, driven by global demand for dollar-denominated reserve assets (e.g., U.S. Treasuries), undermines U.S. manufacturing and export competitiveness while sustaining large trade deficits.
