If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will a law cutting or ending any Trump tariffs be enacted before Jan 3, 2029?
Politique commercialeOne-OffPolitique américaine2a
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Données au 26 oct. 2026, 05:51 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.3%
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Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète7 oct. 26, 02:50 UTC3 janv. 29, 17:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Condition: Republicans win a majority of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 elections (at least 218 seats won by Republican Party candidates, counting delegations as certified; independents count for neither party).
- If Democrats or no party win a majority, this market resolves N/A. Resolves YES if a bill or joint resolution becomes law (signed, or passed over a veto) before January 3, 2029 that terminates or reduces any tariff imposed by the Trump administration since January 20, 2025, or ends the emergency it rests on.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- This is one half of a conditional pair; its twin asks the same question if Democrats win the House.
- Comparing the two shows what the market thinks control of the House changes.
