PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 1 sept. 2026, 18:30 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 23%-3.0ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
8 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
285,7 €
Faible liquiditéCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-4.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète7 févr. 26, 22:051 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Khatnie, Kharkiv Oblast, (50.121266° N, 37.565909° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Marchés ouverts
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- Volume total
- 20,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 221,8 k €
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- June 30, 2027-0.5pt15%
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- December 31+16.9pt98%
- September 30+39.0pt97%
- August 31-5.0pt0%
POLYMARKETWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt39%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.1pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Russia enter Khatnie by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote December 31 à 23% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Russia enter Khatnie by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Russia enter Khatnie by which date? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Russia enter Khatnie by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Khatnie, Kharkiv Oblast, (50.121266° N, 37.565909° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).