PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
September 30 8%+0.6ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
27,8 €
Liquidité
991,7 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
1.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
19 févr. 26, 20:45 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Russia enter Stavky by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia enter Moskovka by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia enter Borova by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia enter Kramatorsk by the end of November 2027?
Manifold MarketsBank of Russia rate decision in September
KalshiIf Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Krasnopillya, Sumy Oblast, (50.77395633727591° N, 35.2597768488549° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Marchés ouverts
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.5pt75.8%
- New People (NL)-2.0pt20.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.1pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 267,7 k €
POLYMARKETRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Volume total
- 529 k €
- Volume 24h
- 55,4 k €
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027+1.0pt14%
- December+1.0pt8%
- September 30,+0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhere will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- No meeting before 2027+1.5pt93.1%
- Switzerland-0.3pt2%
- Turkey-0.4pt1%
+11 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- China+1.0pt54.5%
- No meeting by December 3134.6%
- Gulf country+2.1pt3%
+12 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No+2.5pt69.3%
- Yes-2.5pt30.7%
- Volume total
- 369,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 34,2 k €
- Bank of Russia decision in September?
- Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote September 30 à 8% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by which date? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Krasnopillya, Sumy Oblast, (50.77395633727591° N, 35.2597768488549° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).