Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 79.5%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète17 déc. 25, 17:29 UTC1 janv. 60, 17:28 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Did Jeffrey Epstein kill himself?
Manifold MarketsJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
PolymarketDid Donald Trump have Jeffrey Epstein killed?
Manifold MarketsJeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by which date?
PolymarketBy the end of 2028, it will be confirmed that Jeffrey Epstein was an foreign, or domestic intelligence asset.
Manifold MarketsWho will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Russia was significantly involved in the death of Jeffrey Epstein.
- If there is no strong evidence before January 1st 2060, then this question resolves NO.
- If there is weak evidence, but no strong evidence, then this question resolve N/A. This question does not resolve before January 1st 2060.
Marchés ouverts
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 473 k €
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.6pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.1pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt7%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA+0.5pt8%
- International Court of Justice-1.0pt6%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–339-0.5pt37.1%
- 340–354+2.0pt24.7%
- 310–324-5.0pt22.7%
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change-1.0pt68.7%
- Decrease+1.5pt28.3%
- Increase-1.3pt3%
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Did Russia kill Jeffrey Epstein? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Did Russia kill Jeffrey Epstein? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Did Russia kill Jeffrey Epstein? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2060.
- Comment Did Russia kill Jeffrey Epstein? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Russia was significantly involved in the death of Jeffrey Epstein.