Manifold MarketsSans KYCPrévision communautaire actuelleJan - Jun 2024 0%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
103
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
3 mai 24, 22:571 janv. 27, 12:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Jan - Jun 20251%
Marchés Associés
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
214,8 k €December 31: 44%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
208,4 k €Oui: 0%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Iran successfully targets shipping by...?
173,3 k €August 31: 94%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4,6 k €Oui: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIsraeli Parliament dissolved by…?
597 €June 15 11.59pm ET: 2.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the IDF fight against Abu Shabab (a Palestinian militia they supplied with weapons) by the end of 2026?
439 €Oui: 18.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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Hormuz strike jolts Iran-entry market as Polymarket cuts Trump odds to 15%Blockchain.NewsHormuz ship hit lifts risk as Polymarket normal-traffic odds jump to 55%Blockchain.News
Inspection dispute cools US-Iran deal odds to 22.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
Ras Laffan blast spotlights Gulf shipping as Polymarket puts 20+ Hormuz at 99%Blockchain.News
Iran closes Hormuz again as talks restart, Polymarket Yes dips to 39.5%Blockchain.NewsRègles
Other is the "after everything else" option.
- If it gets to more than 50% I'll add an answer.
- I will resolve based on the (de facto) end date in this Wikipedia page:
- https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israel%E2%80%93Hamas_war
- [image]Details:
- I will update the link in the event of change in name or split of the article.