Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 16 juil. 2026, 17:10 UTC · politique pm-quality-2
Prévision communautaire actuelle
OpenAI 25.3%+0.6%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 jours
Obsolète29 août 24, 15:5831 déc. 30, 18:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
OpenAI25%
Tendance du volume
$2315 juil.2j de données16 juil.
Marchés Associés
Which Model numbers will OpenAI release as a flagship before adding a letter (e.g. ‘o’ in 4o, o1)
164,9 €5.4: 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIs GPT-4.5 the base model for o3?
87,9 €Oui: 5.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhere will I live in October 2026?
43,9 €Berkeley, CA: 15.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
5,8 k €December 31, 2027: 66%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
3,2 k €$500M: 64%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has best AI model end of July?
259,8 k €Anthropic: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter
Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt
Morpho Launches Fixed-Rate Lending Protocol Midnight on BaseThe Defiant
WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter
Morpho rolls out Midnight for fixed term lending on BaseCrypto News
Morpho launches fixed-rate lending protocol Midnight on Base to expand onchain credit marketsThe BlockRègles
Resolves to the company which has created the AI model which triggered the resolution of the weak AGI question on Metaculus.
- This market will be extended until the weak AGI is achieved.
- If the model is a finetune, i will resolve to the creator of the base model.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/3479/?theme=dark)