KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 1, 2030 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 1, 2030 81.5%En tête parmi 12 options
Before Jan 1, 2030 81.5%Qualité du marché
65 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
107,4 €
Intérêt ouvert
122,9 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2030Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes
3 mars 26, 15:00 UTC1 juil. 27, 03:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Before Oct 1, 2026Perdu
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 1, 2030
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?
Manifold MarketsWhat company will achieve the first successful air-launch to orbit rocket launch from the UK?
Manifold MarketsWhen will OpenAI achieve AGI?
KalshiA company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
Manifold MarketsWill AI achieve AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Washington PostABCCBSCNNFox BusinessMSNBCNBCthe Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR databaseThe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsReutersthe Associated PressFinancial TimesCNBCYahoo FinanceMarketWatchAxiosPoliticoThe Information
- To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify. For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2030
- If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2031
- If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2028
- If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2028
- If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.