KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2031 90%En tête parmi 12 options
Qualité du marché
55 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,4 k €
Liquidité
60,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
3 mars 26, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 31, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?
Manifold MarketsWhen will OpenAI achieve AGI?
KalshiA company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
Manifold MarketsWill AI achieve AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Washington PostABCCBSCNNFox BusinessMSNBCNBCthe Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR databaseThe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsReutersthe Associated PressFinancial TimesCNBCYahoo FinanceMarketWatchAxiosPoliticoThe Information
- To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify.
- For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
Marchés ouverts
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 160-179+2.5pt25.5%
- 180-199+7.5pt25.5%
- 200-219+5.0pt17.9%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 446,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 138,2 k €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-2.0pt77%
- Apple+2.3pt16%
- Alphabet6%
+5 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhat will Kroger say during their next earnings call?
- Deflation+44.0pt99%
- SNAP / Food Stamp+46.0pt99%
- Instacart+61.0pt99%
+10 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA-1.1pt97%
- Apple+1.4pt3%
- Alphabet+0.1pt0%
+6 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes+1.0pt8%
- Volume total
- 2,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 36,1 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-19918.3%
- 160-179+2.0pt16.4%
- 200-219-1.0pt15.4%
+23 résultats de plus
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Monster Energy Point of Sale Growth in September
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will any company achieve AGI? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2031 à 90% au 11 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will any company achieve AGI? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will any company achieve AGI? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2031.
- Comment When will any company achieve AGI? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.