KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before 2030 67%-4.9ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
≤74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
8,2 k €
Liquidité
310 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.9 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
25 août 25, 17:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI achieve "very high level of confidence" in their "Superalignment" solutions by 2027-07-06?
Manifold MarketsWhen will any company achieve AGI?
KalshiWill AI achieve AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:OpenAI
- If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+24.5pt89%
- 2026+59.0pt82%
- September 30, 2026+56.0pt63%
- Volume total
- 93,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 59,5 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.9pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.0pt22.9%
- Grok+3.2pt8.6%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,2 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+53.0pt93%
- 2026+53.5pt73%
- September 30, 2026+51.5pt57%
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.25%-7.0pt88%
- Above 2.45%79%
- Above 2.6%+16.0pt56%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 60,8 k €
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture50.5%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer27.1%
- No solution by Dec 31, 202710.3%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 32,3 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,4 M €
- Tencent market share this week
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will OpenAI achieve AGI? ?
- Kalshi cote Before 2030 à 67% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will OpenAI achieve AGI? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment When will OpenAI achieve AGI? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.