Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBefore 2051 50.4%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète23 sept. 25, 15:38 UTC31 déc. 50, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market predicts the year when OpenAI will achieve its stated goal of creating "a factory that can produce a gigawatt of new AI infrastructure every week."
- Context: In his blog post "Abundant Intelligence," (https://blog.samaltman.com/abundant-intelligence) Sam Altman wrote: "Our vision is simple: we want to create a factory that can produce a gigawatt of new AI infrastructure every week.
- The execution of this will be extremely difficult; it will take us years to get to this milestone and it will require innovation at every level of the stack, from chips to power to building to robotics."
- Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to the year when OpenAI officially announces or credible sources confirm that it has achieved the capability to produce 1 gigawatt of new AI infrastructure on a weekly basis.
- Resolution Sources:
- OpenAI official announcements: https://openai.com/blog
