Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) ?

Manifold Markets cote Yes à 89.1% au 26 octobre 2026.

Quand Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) sera-t-il résolu ?

Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2100.

Comment Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria are the same as for the metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-is-publicly-known/

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-4.0pt86.7%
• Anthropic+4.3pt12.2%
• OpenAI+0.1pt1%

+18 résultats de plus

Volume total

3,2 M €

Volume 24h

134,9 k €

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+1.0pt28.9%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.3pt19.2%
• $1.5–$1.75T+1.0pt18.3%

+7 résultats de plus

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+4.2pt56.3%
• Gemini-3.8pt30.6%
• ChatGPT-0.8pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 15,+9.0pt82%
• December 31,+5.0pt82%
• November 30,-4.0pt61%

+9 résultats de plus

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202794%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt92%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+4.0pt56.3%
• Google-5.0pt35.4%
• OpenAI6.3%

+12 résultats de plus

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• Best AI this week
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
• What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
• Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by which date?