Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 55.4%
Pronosticadores
47
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 41 minutos
6 may 23, 12:14 UTC31 dic 50, 19:59 UTC
Tendencias
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FutuurReglas
The Russian civil war of 1917-1923 doesn't count.
- I only mean a war that started later that the creation of the market (6 May 2023).
- Update (25 Jan 2024): after discussion with @PS, I decided that if an edge case arises, I will check Wikipedia and Western media and see if they consistently describe the conflict in question as a civil war.
- Also, if in doubt, I may or may not temporarily freeze the market and consult the traders, and/or resolve N/A.