PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
December · —
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Referencia guardada
December 9%Líder entre 4 opciones
December 9%Calidad del mercado
40 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
44,9 €
Liquidez
9,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaInterés abierto
582,3 US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
DecemberSpread
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Comentarios
2
Cambio 7d
+1.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
14 nov 25, 20:30 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
December 31, 2025Perdida
June 30,Perdida
MarchPerdida
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · December
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
[ACX 2026] Will there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?
FutuurCivil War in Iran in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a civil war in Hungary in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
- Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire.
- Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date.
- Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.