PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
December 14%+1.0ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
32 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
9,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaComentarios
2
Cambio 7d
-0.9 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
14 nov 25, 20:30 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
[ACX 2026] Will there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?
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Manifold MarketsIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
- Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire.
- Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date.
- Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Sudan civil war ceasefire by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza December al 14% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Sudan civil war ceasefire by which date??
- Está previsto que Sudan civil war ceasefire by which date? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Sudan civil war ceasefire by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.