Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 80.1%
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48
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
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Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado15 sept 23, 1:46 UTC22 sept 43, 3:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
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FutuurReglas
Civil war: more of 25% of the US by area is not functionally governed by the US government.
- Resolves in 2043 or whenever the civil war occurred.