Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualPast 2100 36.3%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
24
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado16 ago 23, 12:04 UTC31 dic 99, 13:04 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
At least more than 10 000 military deaths within US borders need to occur to constitute a civil war within a period lasting 3 years caused by the inhabitants of the United States.
- (If AI will do the fighting at one point the definition will be changed, so that fewer military deaths might constitute a civil war and criteria's will change to include things like military spending repair expenditure or shift in territory controlled by one or the other side)
