Will Israel return Lebanon/Hezbollah to the stone age before 2028?
One-OffMiddle EastGeopolíticaRussia / Ukraine1a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 93%
Pronosticadores
26
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado27 dic 23, 19:27 UTC1 ene 28, 5:59 UTC
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Inspired by this.
- Resolves yes if Israel returns Lebanon/Hezbollah to a state in which they are primarily using stone age technology before 2028.
- Definition for stone age technology - Technology that people would have commonly had during the 8000 and 2000 BC period.
- Phones, electronics, up-to-date farming equipment and many modern metals and their alloys are not stone age tech.
- You can go here to learn more about the stone age: https://www.history.com/topics/pre-history/stone-age
- Resolves no if Israel doesn't achieve this by 2028.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Israel return Lebanon/Hezbollah to the stone age before 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 93% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Israel return Lebanon/Hezbollah to the stone age before 2028??
- Está previsto que Will Israel return Lebanon/Hezbollah to the stone age before 2028? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Israel return Lebanon/Hezbollah to the stone age before 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Inspired by this.