PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31, 8%-2.4ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
62 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
947 €
Liquidez
14,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
2.4 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
47
Cambio 7d
-0.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
24 nov 25, 18:27 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Hezbollah disarm by which date?
PolymarketHezbollah disarms by EOY 2026?
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KalshiRafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsWhich Regional Group will the next UN Secretary-General come from?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.