KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualRafael Grossi 58.6%-1.0ptLíder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
454,1 €
Liquidez
31,2 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
- / 7.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 minutos
23 jul 25, 14:005 ene 27, 15:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés4%
Comparar plataformas· Rafael Grossi
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general85% de coincidencia · verificado | Media | 50% | -8pt | 70,5 € | 11,3 mil € | hace 18 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta páginaMás activa | Baja | 58% | 0pt | 454,1 € | 31,2 mil € | hace 18 minutos | |
| Polymarket65% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 40% | -18pt | 2,7 € | 4,2 mil € | hace 18 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
1.0 pts5m
50%
-0.5pt24%
+1.0pt16%
+28 resultados más
61 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total130,4 mil €
Volumen 24h70,5 €
POLYMARKETTambién disponible en Polymarket
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
0.1 ptsCerrados
-1.0pt34.2%
+0.1pt27.4%
-12.2pt21.4%
+44 resultados más
47 • Baja calidadSpread moderadoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total70,2 mil €
Volumen 24h2,7 €
POLYMARKETReglas
If Mia Mottley is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market.
- If Rebeca Grynspan is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alicia Bárcena is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mohammed is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$5173 jul26d de datos28 jul
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If Mia Mottley is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market.
- If Rebeca Grynspan is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alicia Bárcena is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mohammed is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.