PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Rebeca Grynspan 39.8%Líder entre 8 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
73,5 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.4 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
2
Cambio 7d
+0.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
21 abr 26, 18:21 UTC31 dic 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the next Secretary-General of the United Nations be a woman?
Manifold MarketsRafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
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Manifold MarketsWho will be selected the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
PredictItWhat will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiWhat will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiReglas
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution.
- Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Kalshi — Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? · Rebeca Grynspan 33%
Mercados abiertos
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- September 30+19.0pt49%
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- September 30+7.0pt92%
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+2 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
- Polymarket cotiza Rebeca Grynspan al 40% a fecha de 12 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
- Está previsto que Next Secretary-General of the United Nations se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Kalshi.