PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Rafael Grossi 48.1%Líder entre 31 opciones
Calidad del mercado
58 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
55,8 €
Liquidez
8,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
15.0% / 18.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoCambio 7d
-1.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
21 abr 26, 18:2131 dic 26, 0:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Rafael Grossi50%
Comparar plataformas· Rafael Grossi
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 50% | -8pt | 55,8 € | 8,3 mil € | hace 11 minutos | |
 KalshiMás activa85% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 58% | 0pt | 439,6 € | 31,2 mil € | hace 11 minutos | Abrir → |
| Polymarket65% de coincidencia · vinculado | Baja | 36% | -22pt | 0 € | 4,3 mil € | hace 11 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
2.0 pts5m
58.6%
19.2%
8.1%
+5 resultados más
49 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total59,7 mil €
Volumen 24h439,6 €
KALSHITambién disponible en Polymarket
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
Cerrados
-5.0pt32.7%
+0.9pt30%
-16.2pt18.2%
+44 resultados más
32 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total70,3 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
POLYMARKETReglas
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution.
- Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$632 jul26d de datos28 jul
Mercados Relacionados
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
2,5 M €July 31: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
681,6 mil €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
502,1 mil €August 31: 71%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
20,9 mil €Before Aug 1, 2026: 0%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
8,5 mil €Barack Obama: 6%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4,7 mil €Sí: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Hormuz traffic 'Yes' sinks to 1.15% after Trump strike threatBlockchain.News
US freezes $131M in Iran-linked crypto as Middle East tensions riseCointelegraphReglas
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution.
- Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.