PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actualRafael Grossi 33.6%-3.5ptLíder entre 47 opciones
Calidad del mercado
28 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
4,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
- / 0.1%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 20 minutos
12 dic 25, 0:3928 feb 26, 0:00
Tendencias
33.6%
28.4%
20.7%
9.5%
1.7%
1.7%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Rafael Grossi
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketMejor en general65% de coincidencia · vinculado | Media | 50% | — | 70,5 € | 10,3 mil € | hace 20 minutos | Abrir → |
 KalshiMás activa65% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 58% | — | 454,1 € | 31,2 mil € | hace 20 minutos | Abrir → |
| PolymarketEsta página | Baja | 39% | — | 0 € | 4,2 mil € | hace 20 minutos |
También disponible en Kalshi
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
2.0 pts5m
-1.0pt58.6%
19.2%
8.1%
+5 resultados más
49 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total59,7 mil €
Volumen 24h454,1 €
KALSHITambién disponible en Polymarket
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
0.5 pts5m
50%
-0.3pt24%
-0.5pt16%
+28 resultados más
61 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total130,4 mil €
Volumen 24h70,5 €
POLYMARKETReglas
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.
- This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
- If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$32 jul21d de datos28 jul
Mercados Relacionados
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
2,3 M €July 31: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
694,6 mil €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
4,3 mil €Sí: 11%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will any US state secede before 2050?
659,1 €Sí: 21.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
324,1 €Before 2027: 24%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law in 2026?
179,8 €Sí: 40%KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Hormuz traffic 'Yes' sinks to 1.15% after Trump strike threatBlockchain.News
US freezes $131M in Iran-linked crypto as Middle East tensions riseCointelegraphReglas
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.
- This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
- If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.