Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualLatin American and Carribbean 71.2%-6.5ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-14.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado4 abr 24, 3:36 UTC2 ene 27, 15:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
KalshiViktor Orban wins UN Secretary General election?
Manifold MarketsNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by which date?
PolymarketRafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsWill Karina Milei leave the office of Argentina’s Secretary General of the Presidency in 2026?
FutuurWill the next Secretary-General of the United Nations be a woman?
Manifold MarketsReglas
[image]These regional groups are used by the UN.
- In theory the next Secretary-General wouldn't come from the same group as the current one, Guterres, who is Portuguese.