Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 72.3%
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14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado4 abr 24, 3:29 UTC2 ene 27, 15:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Rafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsWill the next secretary general of the United Nations be a woman?
Manifold MarketsNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
PolymarketWill the next secretary general of the United Nations speak German?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will the next Secretary General of the United Nations be from, following Antonio Guterres?
Manifold MarketsWho will be selected the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
PredictItReglas
There has never been a woman Secretary-General
- Guterres is very unlikely to seek a third term, so I will set this to resolve in 2027, but if he does then it should be extended
