Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 69.6%
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9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado4 abr 24, 3:29 UTC2 ene 27, 15:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
PolymarketRafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsWill the next secretary general of the United Nations be a woman?
Manifold MarketsWill a woman walk on the moon before a woman becomes Secretary General of the United Nations?
Manifold MarketsWho will be selected the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
PredictItWhat will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiReglas
There has never been a woman Secretary-General
- Guterres is very unlikely to seek a third term, so I will set this to resolve in 2027, but if he does then it should be extended
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the next Secretary-General of the United Nations be a woman??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 70% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the next Secretary-General of the United Nations be a woman??
- Está previsto que Will the next Secretary-General of the United Nations be a woman? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the next Secretary-General of the United Nations be a woman??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: There has never been a woman Secretary-General