Will Israel and Hezbollah have a major war before January 1st, 2030?
GeopolíticaOne-OffOriente Medio3a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 67%
Pronosticadores
46
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado8 may 24, 20:22 UTC1 ene 30, 21:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be 1500 or more official Pokemon creatures on January 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from on January 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by which date?
PolymarketWill Hezbollah disarm by which date?
PolymarketReglas
10,000 casualties or more within a month constitutes a major war.
- To make it more clear, a month is a calendar month, not a 30 day period.