Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?
One-OffGeopolíticaChinaPolíticaPolítica de EE. UU.Elección9d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 99.1%
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121
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado9 mar 24, 22:01 UTC3 nov 26, 22:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
If Trump wins the US 2024 election, will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? For the purpose of this market, an invasion is defined as any military offensive aimed at establishing control over any portion of Taiwan.
- This market resolves N/A if Trump does not win the 2024 election or if China invades Taiwan before the 2024 election.
- Biden market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/if-biden-wins-will-china-invade-tai
- Update 2025-12-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A blockade alone would not count as an invasion for the purposes of this market.
- An invasion requires a military offensive aimed at establishing control over any portion of Taiwan.