Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 94%
Pronosticadores
32
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 22 minutos
6 ene 26, 22:51 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
LimitlessWill China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan before 2027
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketWhen will China invade Taiwan
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan before 2029?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Taiwan or its government by December 31, 2026.
- China considers Taiwan part of its territory, and Xi Jinping has emphasised reunification as a core objective, while Taiwan operates as a self-governing democracy with its own government and military. .
