LimitlessComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosProbabilidad implícita actual
No 97.3%
Calidad del mercado
30 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
20 ene 26, 18:091 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm es del 4%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 1 punto porcentual entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 4% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersion entre venues
Mercados abiertos
China
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on August 28?
- 24°C+66.5pt100%
- 20°C or below-0.3pt0%
- 21°C-0.1pt0%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 84,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 78,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba+1.3pt95%
- Moonshot+1.7pt2%
- Z.ai-4.0pt2%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.1pt95%
- Yes-0.1pt5%
- Volumen total
- 11 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 33,9 mil €
POLYMARKETSecond-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Moonshot+70.4pt89.1%
- Z.ai-73.4pt5%
- Tencent+3.0pt3%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIDalian Yingbo FC vs Beijing Guoan
- Beijing Guoan+1.0pt45.1%
- Dalian Yingbo FC+1.0pt30.4%
- Tie24.5%
- Volumen total
- 18,1 mil €
KALSHIDalian Yingbo FC vs Beijing Guoan: Total Goals
- Over 0.5 goals scored96%
- Over 1.5 goals scored85%
- Over 2.5 goals scored64%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 17,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026??
- Limitless cotiza No al 97% a fecha de 28 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026??
- Está previsto que Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026??
- Limitless liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: <p>This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Manifold Markets, Polymarket.