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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. China
  3. Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

One-OffChina1a
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 13%
Calidad del mercado

56 / 100

Calidad media
Volumen 24h

13,4 €

Liquidez

79 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venta

12.0% / 13.0%

Spread

8.3%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 4 minutos

1 abr 26, 16:2230 jun 27, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes13%

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.