Current implied probability
Bev Craig 99%Leader of 4 outcomes
Bev Craig 99%Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
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Updated 1 minute ago
Jun 22, 26, 4:16 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual elected Mayor of Greater Manchester, England, in the next such election held no later than December 31, 2026, whether by an outright majority of first preference votes or by a second round Supplementary Vote.
- Should no such election take place prior to the End Date, all contracts will resolve as No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. - Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 12/31/2026 7:00 PM (ET)