Will year-to-year inflation in the European Union be 4.3% or more in October?
Inflation
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 149 days ago
StaleOct 29, 21, 12:00 AMNov 17, 21, 12:00 AM
Trends
100%
0%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
This is a market on a year-to-year inflation, as measured by the Eurostat (HICP), from October 2020 to October 2021.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union annual inflation in October 2021 is 4.3 percent or more and "No" otherwise.
- The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-euro-indicators.
- The next release of HICP inflation rate with full data for October 2021 is scheduled for 17 November 2021.
- In the euro area, the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is used to measure consumer price inflation. That means the change over time in the prices of consumer goods and services purchased by euro area households. It is “harmonised” because all the countries in the European Union follow the same methodology. This ensures that the data for one country can be compared with the data for another.
