Will UK inflation be 8.9% or more in September 2022?
Inflation
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleSep 30, 22, 12:00 AMOct 19, 22, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
This is a market on UK inflation over the 12 month period ending September 2022 as measured by the Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers' housing costs (CIPH), from September 2021 to September 2022.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CIPH is 8.9% or more in September 2022.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market is the figure provided by the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS), found at https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/timeseries/l55o/mm23.
- The specific data point used will be titled "SEP 2022", which is found on the graph titled "CPIH ANNUAL RATE 00: ALL ITEMS 2015=100", and on the table view for the row with period "SEP 2022".
- The release of the September 2022's CIPH is scheduled for October 19, 2022.
Open markets
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change65.7%
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt33.3%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $51.9M
- 24h Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt56%
- No-1.0pt44%
- Total Vol
- $8M
- 24h Vol
- $63.9K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt43%
- September Meeting+1.0pt35%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $133.7K
- 24h Vol
- $10.6K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $140.4K
- 24h Vol
- $8K
KALSHIHow high will inflation get this year?
- At least 4.5%-2.3pt23%
- At least 5.0%+0.9pt17%
- At least 5.5%14%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $451.2K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will UK inflation be 8.9% or more in September 2022??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 24, 2026.
- When does Will UK inflation be 8.9% or more in September 2022? resolve?
- Will UK inflation be 8.9% or more in September 2022? is scheduled to resolve on October 19, 2022.
- How is Will UK inflation be 8.9% or more in September 2022? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This is a market on UK inflation over the 12 month period ending September 2022 as measured by the Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers' housing costs (CIPH), from September 2021 to September 2022.