Will inflation be 0.2% or more from March to April?
Inflation
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
YesWon
NoLost
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
This is a market on whether month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U) will be 0.2% or more from March to April, when the BLS releases month-to-month inflation information for the preceding month of April on May 12, 2021, 8:30 AM ET.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that, on a seasonally adjusted basis, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased by exactly 0.2 percent (i.e. twenty hundredths of 1%) or more from March 2021 to April 2021.
- This market will resolve to “No” if the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that, on a seasonally adjusted basis, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased by less than 0.2 percent (i.e. twenty hundredths of 1%) from March 2021 to April 2021.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS April 2021 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled for release on May 12, 2021, 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note that the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%, 0.1%, etc).
