Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021?
Inflation
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleDec 28, 21, 12:00 AMJan 12, 22, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
In Response to Trader Inquiry: The all items index increase for the 12 month period reported by the U.S.
- This is a market on a year-to-year inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), for the 12 months ending December 2021.
- The inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U, for all items) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by 7.0 percent or more from December 2020 to December 2021 and "No" otherwise.
