Trump renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?
80.0 pts (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Aug 28, 2026, 4:03 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%+80.0pt
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$42.3K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
3
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleAug 25, 26, 2:19 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, or signs any bill into law, or otherwise officially renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America," "Lake of America" or similar by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- If the U.S. Board on Geographic Names (BGN) renames Lake Ontario accordingly this will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration or the U.S. Board on Geographic Names, however a consensus of credible reporting stating that the US Government has renamed Lake Ontario to "Lake America," "Lake of America" or similar will suffice.
