Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/24 - 8/30)
3.0 pts (24h)One-OffTrade PolicyGeopolitics4d
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 150 97%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$652.7
Liquidity
$1.6K
Low liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 38 minutes ago
Aug 21, 26, 4:00 PMSep 1, 26, 1:00 PM
Trends
0%
Rules
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Open markets
Trade PolicyKALSHIWhat will Ulta say during their next earnings call?
- Reward+37.0pt99%
- Traffic+37.0pt99%
- Uncertainty+5.0pt99%
+13 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $120.6K
- 24h Vol
- $74.9K
POLYMARKETGoogle Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by which date?
- December 31+75.0pt92%
- September 3082%
- September 1565%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt41%
- October 31-1.5pt27%
- September 30+1.0pt16%
+3 more outcomes
KALSHIWill Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Before 2027-0.1pt5%
- Before July0%
- Before August0%
- Total Vol
- $2.6M
- 24h Vol
- $7.6K
KALSHITraffic through the Suez Canal? (8/24 - 8/30)
- Above 26095%
- Above 280+20.0pt89%
- Above 270+5.0pt89%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.7K
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+9.5pt78%
- October 31-9.5pt47%
- September 30+1.0pt25%
+1 more outcomes
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- Trump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
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- US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
- What will Carnival Cruise say during their next earnings call?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/24 - 8/30)?
- Kalshi prices Above 150 at 97% as of August 28, 2026.
- When does Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/24 - 8/30) resolve?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/24 - 8/30) is scheduled to resolve on September 1, 2026.
- How is Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/24 - 8/30) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.