PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
September 30 100%+29.2ptVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.8K
Liquidity
$1.7K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
94.2% / 99.2%
Spread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+29.2 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Aug 14, 26, 9:45 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Image model (2.1+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT Image" and be designated as version 2.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 2.1 or higher named in the same manner as GPT Image 1.5 or GPT Image 2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT Image 3, while models whose name does not include "GPT Image" or which retain a version designation of 2 or below, such as GPT Image 2, GPT Image 2 mini, or DALL-E 3, will not qualify.
- Size, speed, or cost variants of any existing version, such as mini or turbo variants, and application or product version launches without a new qualifying underlying model, such as a "ChatGPT Images 3.0" product update, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Open markets
AI
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- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 more outcomes
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- $157.2K
- 24h Vol
- $119.4K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+10.0pt60%
- 2027+2.0pt31.4%
- 2026+2.0pt8.6%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.7pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-4.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 more outcomes
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- $377.7K
- 24h Vol
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- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.5pt23%
+2 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by which date??
- Polymarket prices September 30 at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by which date? resolve?
- Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by which date? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Image model (2.1+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).