Selected book midpoint
January 31 · —
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Stored reference
January 31 14%
January 31 14%Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$637.1
Liquidity
$2.4K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$984.1
Bid / Ask
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January 31Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Oct 14, 26, 11:01 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · January 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will free Gemini app users get access to Gemini 4 Argon by November 15, 2026?
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Argon model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Argon" and be a new Gemini Argon model release designated as newer than Gemini 4 Argon (gemini-4-argon, released October 13, 2026), regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors, including decimal version increases, new whole-number generations, or newer dated builds.
- For example, a newer Argon model named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Argon, including a decimal increase such as a 4.1 or a new whole-number generation such as a Gemini 5 Argon, or a newer Argon release under a new, distinct model identifier, would qualify, while Gemini 4 Argon itself, including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, price change, or thinking-level setting of it, and models whose name does not include "Argon," such as Gemini Pro, Gemini Flash, or Gemini Flash-Lite models, will not qualify.
- A qualifying release must carry a new, distinct model identifier; updates published under an unchanged identifier will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.