Will Zvi write a full capabilities report on Gemini 4 Argon?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Zvi write a full capabilities report on Gemini 4 Argon??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 88% as of October 19, 2026.

When does Will Zvi write a full capabilities report on Gemini 4 Argon? resolve?

Will Zvi write a full capabilities report on Gemini 4 Argon? is scheduled to resolve on October 31, 2026.

How is Will Zvi write a full capabilities report on Gemini 4 Argon? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to YES if Zvi writes a post centered around Gemini 4 Argon before the deadline, that focuses on capabilities.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-3.8pt71.7%
• Anthropic+5.0pt28.3%
• Alibaba-0.1pt0%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$2.9M

24h Vol

$176.5K

KALSHI

OpenAI market share this week

• Above 18.1%+33.0pt99.5%
• Above 17.1%99.5%
• Above 15.1%99.5%

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 15,+11.0pt76%
• December 31,+3.0pt75%
• November 30,+11.5pt67%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+2.2pt47.5%
• Gemini-0.5pt37.8%
• ChatGPT+0.3pt

KALSHI

DeepSeek market share this week

• Above 24.1%+35.0pt99.5%
• Above 23.9%99.5%
• Above 23.2%99.5%

POLYMARKET

AI bubble burst by which date?

• June 30, 2027+3.0pt19%
• December 31, 2026+2.6pt10%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.1M

24h Vol

$44.5K

• Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 18, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Best AI this week
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?