Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 80.5%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Oct 14, 26, 11:43 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 11:41 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves to YES if Zvi writes a post centered around Muse Wonder before the deadline.
- Resolves to NO if Zvi does not write such a post.
- Market will not resolve early to avoid leaking information, except if the post is up and this thus resolves YES.