KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 27.8%Leader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$15.5
Liquidity
$4.3K
Medium liquiditySpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 5, 26, 2:00 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film
KalshiOscar Winner: Best Animated Feature Film
KalshiOscar nominees: Best Animated Feature Film
KalshiOscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
PolymarketWill "The AI Doc: Or How I Became an Apocaloptimist" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 2027 Academy Award
Manifold MarketsWhich 2026 movie will win the Oscar for Best Animated Feature at the 2027 Oscars
Manifold MarketsRules
If Musk has won Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences
- The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars.
- Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
- If the named outcome has won Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Oscar Winner: Best Documentary Feature Film?
- Kalshi prices Once Upon a Time in Harlem at 28% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Oscar Winner: Best Documentary Feature Film resolve?
- Oscar Winner: Best Documentary Feature Film is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Oscar Winner: Best Documentary Feature Film settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Musk has won Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.