PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 25 bps decrease
Resolved: Sep 16, 2026, 11:38 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
25 bps decrease
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 17, 2026, 5:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
25 bps decrease100%
50+ bps decrease0%
50+ bps increase0%
No Change0%
25 bps decreaseWon
50+ bps increaseLost
25 bps increaseLost
No ChangeLost
50+ bps decreaseLost
Rules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 14-15, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar (https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20Policy%20Committee%20(Copom)).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Brazil's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
