PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
October 31 10%-4.5pt
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$187.8
Liquidity
$1.6K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 14.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 5:38 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
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PolymarketUS Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiTencent market share this week
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API.
- Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify.
- A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
- Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
Open markets
AIPOLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba-3.5pt84.6%
- Moonshot+4.7pt10.6%
- Z.ai+0.3pt1.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $471.2K
- 24h Vol
- $64.9K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.3pt69.3%
- ChatGPT-0.1pt15.8%
- Gemini+0.1pt6.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.2M
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt87%
- December 15,+0.5pt84%
- November 30,+6.0pt79%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%91%
- Above 4.5%+19.0pt41%
- Above 5.6%+10.0pt20%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $67K
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 22.7%99%
- Above 21.7%99%
- Above 23.6%-1.0pt95%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $80.4K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 more outcomes
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Best AI this week
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- OpenRouter AI token usage: Sep 14–20
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Anthropic market share this week
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Astra removed from public access by which date??
- Polymarket prices October 31 at 10% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Astra removed from public access by which date? resolve?
- Astra removed from public access by which date? is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2026.
- How is Astra removed from public access by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.