Will we see someone live to 120 years old by 2030?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will we see someone live to 120 years old by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 79.4% as of October 26, 2026.

When does Will we see someone live to 120 years old by 2030? resolve?

Will we see someone live to 120 years old by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.

How is Will we see someone live to 120 years old by 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Here is a list of the oldest living people: https://lottie.org/carecollective/oldest-people-in-the-world/

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

• No-0.1pt98%
• Yes+0.1pt2%

Total Vol

$18.7M

24h Vol

$26.9K

KALSHI

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

• No86%
• Yes-3.0pt14%

Total Vol

$423.5K

24h Vol

POLYMARKET

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

• 20 to 34+2.0pt95%
• 35 to 49-0.7pt3%
• 50 or more-0.6pt2%

+1 more outcomes

KALSHI

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

• Before January 1, 2027-1.0pt6%
• Before December 1, 2026-1.0pt3.5%
• Before November 1, 2026-1.0pt

POLYMARKET

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

• ↑5k98%
• ↑4.75k-0.1pt97%
• ↑5.5k-5.0pt90%

+13 more outcomes

Total Vol

KALSHI

Pandemic in 2026?

• No96.5%
• Yes-1.0pt3.5%

Total Vol

$1M

24h Vol

$2.4K

• Measles cases in 2026?
• How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
• How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
• Anthropic lab leak by which date?
• How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
• Plague case in US by December 31?
• Next pandemic
• CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR)?
• New pandemic before 2028?
• Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
• How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?