![Will Waymo IPO before the end of...? [unlinked]](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FMingweiSamuel%252Fed1710781280.jpg&w=128&q=80)
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
EOY 2030 67.3%Leader of 7 outcomes
EOY 2030 67.3%Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleJan 22, 24, 5:38 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Note all options after the IPO date will resolve YES.
- So e.g. if Waymo IPOs in June 2028, then 2028, 2029, and 2030 all resolve YES.
- (This makes the options all unlinked w/ fixed payout and new answers won't affect existing ones).
- Public IPO, listed on a stock exchange.
- Considers the IPO day, not the announcements in advance. 2025-06-02 clarification: Also includes splitting Waymo out of Google Stock somehow, or SPAC, etc.