Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 72%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jun 14, 26, 7:54 PM UTCSep 21, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Victor Wembanyama win at least 4 NBA MVP awards by the time he retires?
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Manifold MarketsVictor Wembanyama to win MVP and DPOY in the 2026-27 season
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if there is credible public reporting (such as from ESPN, The Athletic, L'Équipe, or Wembanyama's official social media channels) during the 2026 NBA offseason (from June 14, 2026, through the first game of the 2026-27 NBA regular season in October 2026) that Victor Wembanyama participated in a non-traditional, unconventional "training arc" or specialized training program outside of basketball.
- To qualify for a YES resolution, the training program must meet at least one of the following criteria:
- Participation in training sessions, practice, or camps with a professional team or athletes in another sport (e.g., a rugby team, soccer club, etc.).
- Immersive training at a specialized spiritual or physical retreat, temple, or non-basketball martial arts academy (similar to his prior Shaolin temple experience).
- Documented, intensive training in an entirely non-basketball discipline aimed at physical or mental evolution.
Open markets
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Total Vol
- $41.1M
- 24h Vol
- $110.1K
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Total Vol
- $13.1M
- 24h Vol
- $41.2K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C-0.5pt50%
- 27°C+8.5pt27.4%
- 25°C-7.0pt15.7%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Total Vol
- $414.1K
- 24h Vol
- $15.5K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $13.8K
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+4.5pt71.3%
- Moonshot-3.2pt26.7%
- Z.ai-0.8pt1%
+8 more outcomes
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Victor Wembanyama go on another training arc this summer??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 72% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Victor Wembanyama go on another training arc this summer? resolve?
- Will Victor Wembanyama go on another training arc this summer? is scheduled to resolve on September 21, 2026.
- How is Will Victor Wembanyama go on another training arc this summer? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria