Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.7%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleApr 30, 24, 4:28 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Twitter (X) Go Bankrupt Before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Twitter/X go bankrupt before everyone calls it X?
Manifold MarketsHow many companies will go bankrupt this year?
KalshiWill one of the Big Four airlines go bankrupt, be acquired, or cease operations before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill X (Twitter) announce an IPO in 2026?
FutuurWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiRules
Will Twitter (X) file for bankruptcy before 2027.
- This does not depend on whether the site is operating.
Open markets
Corporate Actions
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-0.5pt86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.7M
- 24h Vol
- $66.1K
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213K
- 24h Vol
- $45.2K
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-4.5pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.3pt77.7%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.0pt7.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.8%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+6.0pt98%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+3.0pt98%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.6M
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Israel Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Twitter (X) go bankrupt before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 96% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Twitter (X) go bankrupt before 2027? resolve?
- Will Twitter (X) go bankrupt before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Twitter (X) go bankrupt before 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will Twitter (X) file for bankruptcy before 2027.