Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 73.6%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleFeb 9, 26, 5:36 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Tesla (TSLA) stock closes at or above $900 on any trading day before January 1, 2028.
- Resolution will be verified using official NASDAQ closing prices available at MarketWatch or Yahoo Finance.
- If the market resolves before the deadline due to a corporate action (stock split, merger, etc.), the resolution criteria will be adjusted proportionally.
- Addendum: Prices will be adjusted for ordinary stock splits or reverse splits so that such corporate actions do not mechanically affect resolution.
- If Tesla merges with SpaceX or another entity and TSLA ceases to trade, the market will continue based on the value of the securities received for one pre-merger TSLA share.
