Will there be zero people in space for any period of time before 2040?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will there be zero people in space for any period of time before 2040??

Manifold Markets prices No at 72.4% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will there be zero people in space for any period of time before 2040? resolve?

Will there be zero people in space for any period of time before 2040? is scheduled to resolve on February 4, 2040.

How is Will there be zero people in space for any period of time before 2040? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Judged using https://www.howmanypeopleareinspacerightnow.com/ if possible, otherwise any other reputable source would be accepted

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+0.7pt98%
• Anthropic-1.1pt1%
• OpenAI+0.2pt1%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$4.1M

24h Vol

$237.5K

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

• Google+1.0pt70.4%
• Anthropic-1.0pt26.5%
• OpenAI-2.1pt2%

+18 more outcomes

KALSHI

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

• Above 998.5%
• Above 799.5%
• Above 699.5%

POLYMARKET

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?

• December 31,-4.0pt67%
• June 30,-8.0pt47%
• February 28,+4.5pt38%

+4 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX+3.5pt51.5%
• Anthropic-1.9pt48.5%
• ByteDance0%

+9 more outcomes

KALSHI

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

• Before 2028-1.0pt71.5%
• Before May 1, 2027+7.0pt64%
• Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt

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