Will there be more than 1 year of more than 100 attributable agentic human deaths from AI before a human gigadeath event

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will there be more than 1 year of more than 100 attributable agentic human deaths from AI before a human gigadeath event?

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 87.5% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Will there be more than 1 year of more than 100 attributable agentic human deaths from AI before a human gigadeath event resolve?

Will there be more than 1 year of more than 100 attributable agentic human deaths from AI before a human gigadeath event is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2065.

How is Will there be more than 1 year of more than 100 attributable agentic human deaths from AI before a human gigadeath event settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Period will be defined as from when the 100th agentic AI human death is identified and agreed upon (list and method TBD) and the first human gigadeath (10^9)

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+3.0pt56%
• Google-2.5pt34%
• OpenAI+0.2pt6%

+12 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.2M

24h Vol

$178.5K

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+3.6pt59.2%
• Gemini-2.1pt30.1%
• ChatGPT+0.3pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+5.6pt92.9%
• Anthropic-1.4pt7.1%
• Alibaba+0.1pt0%

+18 more outcomes

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202796.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt95%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt94.5%

POLYMARKET

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?

• December 31-6.5pt80%
• December 15-0.5pt75%
• November 30+3.0pt56%

+5 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,-1.0pt94%
• December 15,-2.0pt92%
• November 30,-4.0pt89%

+15 more outcomes

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• Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
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• Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?