Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2032?
Russia / UkraineOne-OffSpaceChina6yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 84%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleDec 23, 23, 7:31 PM UTCJan 1, 33, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if, by December 31, 2032, there is a presentation of evidence of extraterrestrial life.
- The evidence must fulfill the following criteria:
- Publication in a Recognized Scientific Journal: The evidence must be detailed in at least one peer-reviewed publication in a high-impact scientific journal of substantial academic standing.
- Fields pertinent to this evidence include astronomy, astrobiology, or related scientific disciplines.
- Journals such as 'Nature' and 'Science' are exemplary, but others of comparable status are also valid.
- Confirmation by Space Exploration Authorities: The evidence must be independently confirmed or endorsed by at least two esteemed space exploration agencies or governmental bodies.
