Will there be a real estate crash in the US in 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will there be a real estate crash in the US in 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 93.2% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will there be a real estate crash in the US in 2026? resolve?

Will there be a real estate crash in the US in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.

How is Will there be a real estate crash in the US in 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Fred Harrison has a theory called the "18 year land cycle", and claims to have correctly predicted the housing crash in 2008 and one in the 1990s:

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

• No-3.0pt75.3%
• Yes+3.0pt24.8%

Total Vol

$4.4M

24h Vol

$188.6K

KALSHI

PPI MoM in October

• Above 0.4%+56.0pt49%
• Above 0.3%46%
• Above 0.2%50%

KALSHI

Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?

• No94.5%
• Yes5.5%

Total Vol

$3.6M

24h Vol

$26.5K

KALSHI

Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?

• Maintains rate63%
• Hike 25bps-2.0pt37%
• Cut 25bps0.5%

KALSHI

How high will the S&P get this year?

• 8,000 or above-6.0pt53.7%
• 8,200 or above+7.9pt24.5%
• 8,400 or above+2.4pt

KALSHI

Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026

• Above 1,400 units93.5%
• Above 1,500 units85.5%
• Above 1,600 units62.5%

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